Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 1.235652 1.516866 1.882205 2.408135 3.176479 4.314509 6.257036
2025-04-27 0.900751 1.218123 1.699773 2.547079 4.174252 7.709444 18.838310
2025-05-04 0.707877 1.012575 1.520755 2.542972 4.962229 12.488533 68.532211
2025-05-11 0.578999 0.857761 1.351759 2.441072 5.461606 18.511944 438.400804
2025-05-18 0.508066 0.777297 1.282396 2.502186 6.517279 33.395691 NaN
2025-05-25 0.461481 0.727008 1.252274 2.638700 8.128819 77.106409 NaN
2025-06-01 0.415464 0.667688 1.185304 2.642274 9.321172 180.821252 NaN
2025-06-08 0.371873 0.605213 1.095471 2.535225 9.854115 403.501108 NaN
2025-06-15 0.349033 0.579319 1.081466 2.661638 12.298225 11257.156503 NaN
2025-06-22 0.324020 0.545065 1.039595 2.674545 14.167877 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.298716 0.506794 0.980027 2.595982 15.143470 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.278235 0.476133 0.933819 2.550056 16.549401 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.270467 0.471949 0.956138 2.807021 24.171500 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.259367 0.459132 0.953156 2.961712 32.996496 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.244768 0.436778 0.919360 2.952707 38.927554 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.228733 0.409565 0.867217 2.825732 40.296698 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.219347 0.396569 0.853989 2.901188 52.967840 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.212779 0.389327 0.856359 3.070702 81.589126 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 0.203348 0.374407 0.832826 3.075146 103.667350 NaN NaN
2025-08-31 0.192163 0.354390 0.790622 2.942098 106.183323 NaN NaN
2025-09-07 0.187166 0.348709 0.792455 3.099269 184.553344 NaN NaN
2025-09-14 0.180118 0.337440 0.774648 3.115359 262.142974 NaN NaN
2025-09-21 0.171839 0.322541 0.743042 3.017542 290.853724 NaN NaN